The following table is a payoff table for a particular venture.

      

The following table is a payoff table for a particular venture.
payoff23120191121.png
Required:
a) Determine the decision alternative that maximizes expected payoff.
b) Determine expected value under certainty.
c) What is the expected value of perfect information?

  

Answers


Mutiso
payoff23120191121i.png
b) Expected value under certainty: Under certainty given any state of nature a decision maker will choose
the alternative with the highest payoff as follows:
payoff23120191121ii.png
c) Expected value of perfect information is equal to expected value under certainty less the expected value
under uncertainty
Value in (b) –Value in (a) = 445.4 – 378.6 = 66.8
Mutiso answered the question on January 23, 2019 at 20:26


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