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(a) Briefly explain how the 'Dow Theory' views the movement of the market prices of shares traded on a stock exchange. (b) Identify and briefly explain the...

      

(a) Briefly explain how the 'Dow Theory' views the movement of the market prices of
shares traded on a stock exchange.
(b) Identify and briefly explain the factors that must be taken into account in the design and
construction of a market index for shares.

  

Answers


Martin
(a) Dow theory
This theory views the movement of market prices occurring in three categories:
- Primary movements

These are called bull and bear markets. Bull markets are where prices move in an
upward manner for several years. Bear markets , on the other hand, are where prices
move in a downward manner for several months or a few years.?

-Secondary movements

These are up and down movements of stock prices that last for a few months and
are called corrections

- Daily movements

These are meaningless random daily fluctuations. These are generally ignored during
charting of indices.

(b) Factors to consider in the construction of stock market index:

1. Sample size

The sample should be a statistically significant fraction of the population studied
because larger samples tend to produce more accurate indications about the
underlying population. If a sample is too large, it can be costly to compile.

2. Representatives

The sample should contain heterogeneous elements representing all segments of
the population.

3. Weighing

The various elements in the sample should be assigned weights that correspond to
investment opportunities in the population under study:

(i) A security?s weight in some in some index might be proportional to
the total market value of all the firm?s shares that are outstanding
stated as a fraction on the total market value of all the securities being
traded in its market. Such value-weighing of an index is done to reflect
investment opportunities in existence at any movement.

(ii) Equal weights could be used to represent the probability of selecting any
given security with random sampling (or equivalently, selecting stocks by
throwing un anaimed dart.). An equally weighed index represents a
'no skill' or naïve buy and hold investment strategy

(4) Convenient units
An index should be sated in units that are easy to understand and which facilitate
answering questions.


(5) Computation of the mean

Most security market indicators are calculated as some sort of arithmetic average.
The geometric average is an alternative computational procedure, it results in a
smaller but similar value that is less volatile than an arithmetic mean calculated from
the same sample of securities.

(6) Timing interval on which calculations of index are based.

(7) The prices to use for computation we close, mean, low, high.
marto answered the question on February 11, 2019 at 09:47


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