Will a Wamalwa support for Mudavadi bear fruit? Will Mudavadi make it?

  

Date Posted: 1/5/2013 5:20:27 AM

Posted By: billyme  Membership Level: Bronze  Total Points: 20

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Mr Eugene Wamalwa has been in several political unions beginning with the G7 alliance then pambazuka where he thought he was going to be one of the prime beneficiaries, the question is, what is in him that makes him think he can make it to the presidency? what is he offering? does he have any national support like his opponents are? will he be able to unite the home support as he thinks?

I personally think Wamalwa is only riding on his late brother’s success in thinking that he can make it to the top political seat, which is a wrong assertion by all means. Although he shelved his ambitions for Mudavadi, he needs to to do a lot of homework before making this crucial decision to vie for presidency in future. However, what many people want to know is whether Mudavadi’s decision to run for presidency will bear any fruits, or if Wamalwa support will be credible for Musalia.

First of all people need to understand that a good number of Luhyas have a dying passion for Raila Odinga, many of them will not mind voting for him, secondly, Wamalwa has not been able to unite the Bukusu people, although some think he is their king pin politically, this is a complete wrong statement due to the fact that we have Wetangula in the arithmetic. Wetangula is going to influence the Bukusu vote because he is siding with Raila, Bukusus only need a reassurance that they will be safe when CORD wins and since the Foreign Affairs minister is included so its almost gone. Secondly, Mudavadi does not control the western bloc, the luhya vote is divided since time immemorial, Mudavadi cannot claim to unite them. I am an ardent listener of West FM and Mulembe FM

and judging by the number of people who call into these two radio stations then Mudavadi will hardly get a 50% of luhya votes. One reason Mudavadi may not ride on Luhya votes is because the Luhya nation has 18 subtribes, to unite this subtribes and make them believe that you are the right person to vote for is a herculean task, Mudavadi has no MPs support from western, most of the subtribe in the Luhya nation believe in the MPs, for example, Mudavadi will not see any vote from Busia judging on the current occurrences. Let us look at Mudavadi opponents beginning with Raila, Raila has a solid backing from his Luo Nyanza backyard, the MPs are jealously behind him, that is how he has been able to bargain his way up. Uhuru Kenyatta also enjoys a national support boosted by Ruto who rules in Kalenjin Land.

Mudavadi does not have a trusted national support, the only support we have so far seen is Jeremiah Kioni who doesn’t have a political backing in his central home turf, Gideon Moi who is the Kanu chairman, remember that Gideon Moi and Nick salat failed desperately when they vied for parliamentary seats in 2007 which makes it hard to understand if they are reasonable lieutenants for Mudavadi. the peace coalition only seems to enjoy a little Luhya support but has no national support, the individuals who claim to support Mudavadi from outside Luhya land do not have any political influence in their backyards.

Mudavadi is a soft spoken person with a uniquely neutral character but it is only fair to say that he made a seriously wrong decision, his decision to run will only result in a runoff between Raila and Uhuru, maybe he should have been wiser or maybe he believes in miracles, for Wamalwa, I don''t know what seat he is going to vie for or maybe he will wait to be rewarded with a ministerial post “if” Mudavadi miraculously wins.

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